Cold for mid-late December?
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Cold for mid-late December?
Interesting paragraph in this afternoon's forecast discussion from Norman NWS:
BEYOND DAY 7... THICKNESS IN THE COLDEST POOL OF POLAR AIR HAS BEEN
IN THE LOW 470S OVER SIBERIA... IMPRESSIVE EVEN BY SIBERIAN
STANDARDS. GENERAL TRENDS OF THE GFS/ECMWF ARE TO SHIFT THE
COLDEST AIR MORE TOWARD THE N POLE AND EVENTUALLY TO THIS SIDE OF
IT IN 10 DAYS... WHILE MAINTAINING AN EVER-PRESENT POSITIVE HEIGHT
ANOMALY OVER THE N ATLANTIC AND AN UPSTREAM LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER
CENTRAL/EASTERN N AMERICA. CPC IS LEANING TOWARD RETROGRESSION OF
THE EASTERN TROF MORE TOWARD THE CENTRAL/SW CONUS DURING THE 6-10
AND 8-14 DAY PERIODS... WHICH SHOULD TELECONNECT TO CONTINUED
RIDGING FROM THE E PACIFIC N TOWARD ALASKA. WITH POLAR AIR
CONTINUING TO BUILD UP N... STAGE REMAINS SET TO CAUSE POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD WINTER-TYPE WX TROUBLE IN THE MID-LATE
DEC TIME FRAME... FROM EITHER A BIG-TIME ARCTIC INVASION AND/OR
SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORMS. FIGURING OUT THE DETAILS WILL REMAIN AN
EXERCISE IN FUTILITY AS LONG AS THE MED-RANGE MODELS STRUGGLE
WITH CONTINUITY.
BEYOND DAY 7... THICKNESS IN THE COLDEST POOL OF POLAR AIR HAS BEEN
IN THE LOW 470S OVER SIBERIA... IMPRESSIVE EVEN BY SIBERIAN
STANDARDS. GENERAL TRENDS OF THE GFS/ECMWF ARE TO SHIFT THE
COLDEST AIR MORE TOWARD THE N POLE AND EVENTUALLY TO THIS SIDE OF
IT IN 10 DAYS... WHILE MAINTAINING AN EVER-PRESENT POSITIVE HEIGHT
ANOMALY OVER THE N ATLANTIC AND AN UPSTREAM LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER
CENTRAL/EASTERN N AMERICA. CPC IS LEANING TOWARD RETROGRESSION OF
THE EASTERN TROF MORE TOWARD THE CENTRAL/SW CONUS DURING THE 6-10
AND 8-14 DAY PERIODS... WHICH SHOULD TELECONNECT TO CONTINUED
RIDGING FROM THE E PACIFIC N TOWARD ALASKA. WITH POLAR AIR
CONTINUING TO BUILD UP N... STAGE REMAINS SET TO CAUSE POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD WINTER-TYPE WX TROUBLE IN THE MID-LATE
DEC TIME FRAME... FROM EITHER A BIG-TIME ARCTIC INVASION AND/OR
SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORMS. FIGURING OUT THE DETAILS WILL REMAIN AN
EXERCISE IN FUTILITY AS LONG AS THE MED-RANGE MODELS STRUGGLE
WITH CONTINUITY.
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